SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 9.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 3-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Khimki |
73.67% ( 1) | 16.49% ( -0.52) | 9.84% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( 0.98) | 40.04% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.6% ( 1.01) | 62.4% ( -1.02) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.61% ( 0.49) | 9.39% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.4% ( 1.16) | 31.6% ( -1.16) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.2% ( -0.29) | 47.8% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.91% ( -0.22) | 83.08% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Khimki |
| 2-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.64% Total : 73.66% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.74% Total : 16.49% | 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.41% Total : 9.84% |
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