SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Fakel |
36.89% ( 0.23) | 25.96% ( 0.05) | 37.14% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.01% ( -0.21) | 49.99% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.02% ( -0.19) | 71.97% ( 0.19) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% ( 0.03) | 26.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.53% ( 0.04) | 61.46% ( -0.04) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% ( -0.25) | 26.18% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.72% ( -0.34) | 61.27% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.89% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.14% |
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