Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.

Result
Sochi	Draw	Khimki
57.92% ( -0.01)	22.52% ( 0)	19.56% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.51% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.69% (

-0)

46.31% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.4% (

-0.01)

68.6% (

0.01)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.3% (

-0)

15.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.23% (

-0.01)

44.77% (

0.01)

Khimki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.29% (

37.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.52% (

74.48% (

Score Analysis

Sochi 57.91%

Khimki 19.56%

Draw 22.52%

Sochi	Draw	Khimki
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.34% Total : 57.91%	1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.52%	0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 19.56%