SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 7 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Fakel | 7 | -7 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Khimki | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 7 | -4 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Khimki win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Khimki |
45.51% ( -0.42) | 25.97% ( -0.44) | 28.52% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 51.69% ( 1.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.75% ( 2.2) | 52.24% ( -2.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.05% ( 1.86) | 73.95% ( -1.86) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( 0.75) | 22.9% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.33% ( 1.09) | 56.66% ( -1.09) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( 1.84) | 32.95% ( -1.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.47% ( 1.99) | 69.53% ( -1.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Khimki |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.74) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.68)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.52% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
