SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Orenburg | 8 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Khimki | 8 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | Fakel | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Nizhny Novgorod | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 8 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 8 | -6 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
31.49% ( -0.02) | 26.32% ( 0.05) | 42.18% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.11% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% ( -0.24) | 52.41% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( -0.21) | 74.09% ( 0.2) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% ( -0.14) | 30.89% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.82% ( -0.16) | 67.18% ( 0.15) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -0.13) | 24.6% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% ( -0.18) | 59.09% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.49% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.18% |
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