Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Rubin Kazan
58.03% ( 1.64)	21.96% ( -0.71)	20.01% ( -0.93)

Both teams to score 55.14% (

0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.81% (

1.9)

43.19% (

-1.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.41% (

1.85)

65.59% (

-1.85)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.4% (

1.19)

14.6% (

-1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.3% (

2.24)

42.7% (

-2.24)

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.57% (

0.16)

35.43% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.8% (

0.17)

72.2% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 58.03%

Rubin Kazan 20.01%

Draw 21.96%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Rubin Kazan
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.82% Total : 58.03%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.96%	0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.9% Total : 20.01%