SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 70.4%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
70.4% ( 2.2) | 17.99% ( -1.07) | 11.6% ( -1.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.48% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.1% ( 1.97) | 41.9% ( -1.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.69% ( 1.95) | 64.3% ( -1.95) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.31% ( 1.14) | 10.69% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.41% ( 2.48) | 34.58% ( -2.48) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.28% ( -0.63) | 45.72% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.5% ( -0.5) | 81.5% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
| 2-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.46)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.47)4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.31)5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.99% Total : 70.39% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.52) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.81% Total : 17.99% | 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.96% Total : 11.6% |
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