SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo Moskva win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo Moskva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
28.61% ( 0.27) | 25.36% ( 0.09) | 46.03% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 53.64% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( -0.21) | 49.72% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( -0.19) | 71.73% ( 0.19) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% ( 0.09) | 31.57% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.03% ( 0.11) | 67.97% ( -0.11) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.39% ( -0.25) | 21.6% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.29% ( -0.38) | 54.71% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
| 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.61% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 46.03% |
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