SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
57.73% ( 0.09) | 22.36% ( -0.01) | 19.91% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.63% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.88% ( -0.03) | 45.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.54% ( -0.03) | 67.46% ( 0.03) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( 0.02) | 15.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.87% ( 0.03) | 44.13% ( -0.03) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.36% ( -0.09) | 36.64% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% ( -0.09) | 73.43% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 57.72% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 19.91% |
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