SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
26.17% ( -0.08) | 25.25% ( -0.04) | 48.58% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.14% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% ( 0.1) | 50.83% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% ( 0.09) | 72.71% ( -0.09) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.94% ( -0.02) | 34.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.26% ( -0.02) | 70.74% ( 0.01) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( 0.09) | 20.94% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.32% ( 0.14) | 53.68% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 26.17% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 48.58% |
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