SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
49.95% ( 0.09) | 24.87% ( -0.1) | 25.18% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( 0.41) | 50.01% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( 0.37) | 71.99% ( -0.36) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( 0.2) | 20.04% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.75% ( 0.32) | 52.25% ( -0.32) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( 0.24) | 34.44% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% ( 0.25) | 71.16% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 49.95% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.18% |
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