SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
37.55% ( 0.14) | 25.65% ( -0.07) | 36.8% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.38% ( 0.31) | 48.62% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.26% ( 0.29) | 70.74% ( -0.29) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% ( 0.22) | 25.33% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.89% ( 0.3) | 60.11% ( -0.3) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( 0.11) | 25.74% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.32% ( 0.15) | 60.67% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.8% |
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