SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Makhachkala win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Makhachkala win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Makhachkala | Draw | Fakel |
50.58% ( -0.13) | 28.29% ( 0.01) | 21.12% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 39.15% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.91% ( 0.06) | 65.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.05% ( 0.04) | 83.95% ( -0.04) |
| Dynamo Makhachkala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( -0.03) | 26.2% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.7% ( -0.05) | 61.3% ( 0.05) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.06% ( 0.16) | 46.94% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.56% ( 0.12) | 82.44% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 16.47% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 50.58% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 28.27% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 21.12% |
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