SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 73.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 8.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.41%) and 3-0 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
73.82% ( -0.01) | 17.35% ( 0) | 8.83% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.27% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.84% ( -0) | 47.16% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.61% ( -0) | 69.4% ( 0) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.77% | 11.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.22% ( -0.01) | 35.79% ( 0.01) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.36% ( 0.01) | 54.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.33% ( 0.01) | 87.67% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
| 2-0 @ 14.66% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 13.41% 3-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.46% 4-0 @ 5.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.56% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.07% 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 73.81% | 1-1 @ 8.11% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.68% ( 0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 17.35% | 0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 8.83% |
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