SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 79.8%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 5.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.89%) and 3-0 (12.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.55%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
79.8% ( 0.02) | 14.49% ( -0.01) | 5.7% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 34.02% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.83% ( 0.01) | 46.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% ( 0.01) | 68.46% ( -0.01) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.57% ( 0.01) | 9.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.32% ( 0.01) | 31.68% ( -0.02) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.55% ( -0.02) | 62.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.15% ( -0.01) | 91.85% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
| 2-0 @ 16.41% 1-0 @ 13.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0)4-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.61% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.59% 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 79.79% | 1-1 @ 6.55% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0)2-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 14.49% | 0-1 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 1.39% Total : 5.7% |
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