SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 14.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Fakel |
63.09% ( 1.38) | 22.19% ( -0.46) | 14.71% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 44.03% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.36% ( 0.16) | 52.64% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.71% ( 0.13) | 74.28% ( -0.13) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( 0.52) | 16.14% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.42% ( 0.94) | 45.58% ( -0.94) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.51% ( -1.2) | 47.49% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.14% ( -0.91) | 82.86% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.81% Total : 63.09% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.04% Total : 14.71% |
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