SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 72.39%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Orenburg |
72.39% ( -0.02) | 16.92% ( 0) | 10.68% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.99% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.47% ( 0.01) | 39.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.12% ( 0.01) | 61.87% ( -0.02) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.43% | 9.56% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.98% ( -0) | 32.01% |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.17% ( 0.02) | 45.83% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.41% ( 0.02) | 81.58% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Orenburg |
| 2-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.54% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.33% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.6% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.71% Total : 72.38% | 1-1 @ 8.03% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 16.93% | 0-1 @ 3.42% 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 10.68% |
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