SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 69.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 11.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Orenburg |
69.66% ( -1.58) | 18.36% ( 0.73) | 11.98% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 48.45% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.41% ( -1.04) | 42.59% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35% ( -1.05) | 65% ( 1.05) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.93% ( -0.69) | 11.07% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.56% ( -1.54) | 35.44% ( 1.54) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.48% ( 0.81) | 45.52% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.65% ( 0.63) | 81.35% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Orenburg |
| 2-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.22)5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.78% Total : 69.65% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.81% Total : 18.36% | 0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.13% Total : 11.98% |
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