SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.94%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zenit St Petersburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Makhachkala | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
16.66% ( -0.01) | 23.02% ( 0.06) | 60.32% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.79% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.43% ( -0.26) | 52.57% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( -0.22) | 74.23% ( 0.22) |
| Dynamo Makhachkala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.21% ( -0.16) | 44.79% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.23% ( -0.13) | 80.77% ( 0.13) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.93% ( -0.11) | 17.07% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.76% ( -0.2) | 47.24% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.47% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 16.66% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 13.51% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 11.94% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.04% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 60.31% |
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