Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 78.06%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 7.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.16%) and 1-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
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