SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 53.26%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Zenit St Petersburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
24.01% ( 0.02) | 22.73% ( 0.01) | 53.26% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.19% ( -0.02) | 41.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.79% ( -0.02) | 64.21% ( 0.03) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% ( 0) | 30.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% ( 0) | 67.28% ( 0) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% ( -0.02) | 15.7% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.22% ( -0.03) | 44.78% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.01% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.34% 1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.38% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 53.26% |
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