SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | FC Krasnodar | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Rostov | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Khimki | 4 | 4 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 35.28%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (12.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Rostov |
35.28% ( 0.12) | 29.68% ( -0.05) | 35.05% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 43% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.92% ( 0.16) | 64.08% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.76% ( 0.11) | 83.24% ( -0.11) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.65% ( 0.16) | 34.35% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.95% ( 0.17) | 71.05% ( -0.17) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.5% ( 0.04) | 34.5% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.78% ( 0.04) | 71.22% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 35.27% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.67% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.05% |
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