Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rostov in this match.

Result
Rostov	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
59.48% ( 0.21)	22.57% ( -0.09)	17.95% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 49.53% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.15% (

0.21)

48.85% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.05% (

0.19)

70.95% (

-0.19)

Rostov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.95% (

0.15)

16.05% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.58% (

0.26)

45.42% (

-0.26)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59% (

-0.01)

40.99% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.45% (

-0.01)

77.55% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Rostov 59.47%

Nizhny Novgorod 17.95%

Draw 22.57%

Rostov	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 59.47%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.57%	0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.95% Total : 17.95%