SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
53.26% ( 0.02) | 25.32% ( -0) | 21.42% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.88% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.8% ( -0.01) | 55.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.57% ( -0.01) | 76.43% ( 0) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( 0) | 20.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.63% ( 0) | 53.37% ( -0.01) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.14% ( -0.02) | 40.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.58% ( -0.02) | 77.42% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.39% 3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.92% 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 53.25% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 21.42% |
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