SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 71.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 10.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.46%) and 3-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Fakel |
71.19% ( -0.27) | 18.58% ( 0.16) | 10.23% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 41.83% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.78% ( -0.31) | 48.22% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( -0.29) | 70.37% ( 0.3) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.75% ( -0.16) | 12.25% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.03% ( -0.35) | 37.98% ( 0.36) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.67% ( 0.04) | 52.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.78% ( 0.03) | 86.22% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Fakel |
| 2-0 @ 14.13% 1-0 @ 13.46% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 71.19% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 18.58% | 0-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.23% |
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