Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nizhny Novgorod in this match.
Result | ||
Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Rostov |
43.78% ( -0.05) | 27.4% ( 0.01) | 28.82% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.65% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.46% ( -0.01) | 57.54% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.67% ( -0.01) | 78.33% ( 0.01) |
Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.9% ( -0.03) | 26.1% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.84% ( -0.04) | 61.16% ( 0.05) |
Rostov Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.47% ( 0.03) | 35.52% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.71% ( 0.03) | 72.29% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Rostov |
1-0 @ 12.45% 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.77% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 28.82% |
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