SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
41.93% ( -0.31) | 25.7% ( -0.05) | 32.36% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 54.43% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.43% ( 0.34) | 49.56% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.41% ( 0.3) | 71.59% ( -0.31) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( -0) | 23.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.52% ( -0) | 57.48% ( 0) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( 0.4) | 28.88% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.25% ( 0.5) | 64.75% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.36% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
