Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 13 | 20 |
3 | Rostov | 9 | 6 | 19 |
4 | FC Krasnodar | 9 | 5 | 17 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | -2 | 11 |
10 | Krylia Sovetov | 9 | -3 | 10 |
11 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | -4 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
Result | ||
Rostov | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
48.46% ( -1.02) | 25.02% ( 0.31) | 26.52% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.36% ( -0.76) | 49.64% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.34% ( -0.69) | 71.66% ( 0.69) |
Rostov Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.49% ( -0.73) | 20.51% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.99% ( -1.17) | 53.01% ( 1.17) |
Krylia Sovetov Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% ( 0.17) | 33.14% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% ( 0.19) | 69.74% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Rostov | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 48.45% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.44% Total : 26.52% |
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