Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.

Result
FC Krasnodar	Draw	Sochi
45.97% ( 1.14)	25.25% ( -0.24)	28.77% ( -0.9)

Both teams to score 54.11% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83% (

0.56)

49.17% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.76% (

0.5)

71.24% (

-0.5)

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6% (

0.75)

21.4% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.61% (

1.14)

54.39% (

-1.14)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.84% (

-0.36)

31.16% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.5% (

-0.43)

67.49% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

FC Krasnodar 45.97%

Sochi 28.77%

Draw 25.24%

FC Krasnodar	Draw	Sochi
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.46% Total : 45.97%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.77%