SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Fakel | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 7 | -14 | 1 |
| 16 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 8 | -15 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Rostov | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Sochi | 8 | 0 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rostov in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Rostov |
31.51% ( 1.1) | 26.34% ( 0.31) | 42.16% ( -1.41) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( -0.85) | 52.48% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( -0.73) | 74.15% ( 0.73) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% ( 0.34) | 30.92% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.79% ( 0.39) | 67.21% ( -0.39) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( -1.07) | 24.64% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.84% ( -1.53) | 59.16% ( 1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.51% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.59% Total : 42.15% |
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