Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Rostov	Draw	Spartak Moscow
30.21% ( -0)	25.04% ( -0.01)	44.75% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.66% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.47% (

0.03)

47.52% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.27% (

0.03)

69.73% (

-0.03)

Rostov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

0.01)

29.3% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

0.01)

65.27% (

-0.02)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74% (

0.02)

21.26% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.82% (

0.02)

54.18% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Rostov 30.21%

Spartak Moscow 44.75%

Draw 25.04%

Rostov	Draw	Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 4.69% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.21%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.75%