Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 72.16%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 10.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Rotor Volgograd win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.