Arsenal Tula
3 - 2
Sochi

Tkachev (20', 71'), Kangwa (45+3')
Sokol (6'), Lutsenko (9'), Kangwa (17')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Noboa (10' pen.), Mevlja (65')
Margasov (29'), Zaika (55'), Tsallagov (69')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Arsenal Tula and Sochi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Tula would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Tula	Draw	Sochi
41.53%	26.88%	31.58%

Both teams to score 50.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.38%

54.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.04%

75.96%

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07%

25.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07%

60.93%

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04%

31.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59%

68.41%

Score Analysis

Arsenal Tula 41.53%

Sochi 31.58%

Draw 26.87%

Arsenal Tula	Draw	Sochi
1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.53%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 9.45% 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.58%