Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.