SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Sochi win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 23.9% | 24.75% | 51.35% |
| Both teams to score 51.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.38% | 50.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.47% | 72.53% |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.11% | 35.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.33% | 72.67% |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% | 19.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.29% | 51.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 7.25% 2-1 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.9% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-2 @ 9.33% 1-3 @ 5.18% 0-3 @ 5.05% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.86% Total : 51.34% |
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