Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Sochi win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.