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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Feb 27, 2021 at 4pm UK
Fisht Olympic Stadium

Sochi
4 - 0
Arsenal Tula

Zabolotny (51'), Terekhov (53'), Joaozinho (58'), Yusupov (67')
Zaika (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dovbnya (41'), Grigalava (68'), Tkachev (86')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.

Result
SochiDrawArsenal Tula
41.33%27.18%31.49%
Both teams to score 49.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.22%55.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.09%76.9%
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43%26.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21%61.78%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38%32.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84%69.15%
Score Analysis
    Sochi 41.33%
    Arsenal Tula 31.49%
    Draw 27.17%
SochiDrawArsenal Tula
1-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.33%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.66%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 9.71%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 5.44%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.49%

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