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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 27
Apr 25, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Luzhniki Stadium
CM

Spartak Moscow
1 - 0
CSKA

Larsson (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dzagoev (53'), Lucas (62'), Maradishvili (64'), Maximenko (88'), Moses (90+3'), Umyarov (90+4')
Akhmetov (37')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and CSKA Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawCSKA Moscow
42.61%24.31%33.08%
Both teams to score 59.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89%43.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49%65.51%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61%20.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.19%52.8%
CSKA Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7%25.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93%60.06%
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 42.61%
    CSKA Moscow 33.08%
    Draw 24.31%
Spartak MoscowDrawCSKA Moscow
2-1 @ 8.96%
1-0 @ 8.2%
2-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 42.61%
1-1 @ 11.27%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.31%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-1 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 4.87%
1-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 33.08%

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