Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 70.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 11.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.