Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 15.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.