Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Sochi win was 1-0 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
