Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
CSKA Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
43.58% | 25.68% | 30.73% |
Both teams to score 53.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.94% | 50.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.96% | 72.03% |
CSKA Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.12% | 22.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.38% | 56.62% |
Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.77% | 30.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.61% | 66.39% |
Score Analysis |
CSKA Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 9% 2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.27% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.73% |
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