Zenit
3 - 1
Spartak Moscow

Azmoun (8'), Rakitskiy (73'), Dzyuba (90+4')
Malcom (40'), Wendel (78'), Barrios (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lovren (22' og.)
Zobnin (25'), Larsson (36'), Dzhikiya (54')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Spartak Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Spartak Moscow
49.78%	22.69%	27.53%

Both teams to score 61.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.58%

38.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.29%

60.71%

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.3%

15.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.24%

44.76%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.48%

26.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.28%

61.71%

Score Analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 49.78%

Spartak Moscow 27.53%

Draw 22.68%

Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Spartak Moscow
2-1 @ 9.47% 1-0 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 5.85% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 3.88% 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.78% Total : 49.78%	1-1 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.68%	1-2 @ 6.79% 0-1 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 1.62% 1-4 @ 1% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.53%