SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Rostov |
37.91% ( 0.69) | 26.62% ( -0.2) | 35.47% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.15% ( 0.77) | 52.85% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.53% ( 0.65) | 74.47% ( -0.65) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( 0.76) | 27.09% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.52% ( 0.98) | 62.48% ( -0.98) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( 0.07) | 28.53% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.69% ( 0.09) | 64.31% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.9% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.47% |
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