SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Rostov win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
18.38% ( -0.02) | 22.43% ( -0.03) | 59.19% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.78% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.41% ( 0.08) | 47.59% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.21% ( 0.08) | 69.79% ( -0.08) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( 0.02) | 39.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.58% ( 0.02) | 76.42% ( -0.02) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.28% ( 0.05) | 15.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.2% ( 0.08) | 44.8% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.92% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 18.39% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.09% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 59.18% |
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