Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
Result | ||
Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
27.16% ( -0.01) | 26.95% ( -0.01) | 45.9% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.89% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.27% ( 0.02) | 56.73% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.33% ( 0.01) | 77.68% ( -0.01) |
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.58% ( 0) | 36.42% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% ( 0) | 73.21% ( -0) |
CSKA Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.33% ( 0.01) | 24.68% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.8% ( 0.02) | 59.2% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 27.16% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.89% |
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