SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rostov in this match.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Rostov |
18.36% ( 0.01) | 21.71% ( 0.09) | 59.93% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.06% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% ( -0.4) | 44.54% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% ( -0.38) | 66.91% ( 0.39) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.02% ( -0.22) | 37.98% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.25% ( -0.22) | 74.75% ( 0.22) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( -0.16) | 14.45% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.6% ( -0.31) | 42.41% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 4.98% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.36% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 10.27% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.62% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.41% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 59.92% |
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