SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ural Yekaterinburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
21.88% ( 1.31) | 23.32% ( 0.64) | 54.79% ( -1.96) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.22% ( -1.16) | 46.77% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.96% ( -1.1) | 69.03% ( 1.1) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.37% ( 0.63) | 35.62% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.61% ( 0.65) | 72.39% ( -0.65) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( -1.1) | 16.95% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.96% ( -1.98) | 47.03% ( 1.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.91% Total : 21.88% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.32% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.22)0-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.26)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.12)Other @ 3% Total : 54.78% |
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