Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
