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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2021 at 5pm UK
Fisht Olympic Stadium

Sochi
3 - 2
Rostov

Yusupov (10'), Noboa (28' pen.), Cassierra (33')
Burmistrov (32'), Prokhin (82')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bastos (53'), Sowe (90+3')
Kalinin (6'), Bastos (23'), Gigovic (58')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and Rostov.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.

Result
SochiDrawRostov
47.2%25.13%27.68%
Both teams to score 53.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69%49.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64%71.37%
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08%20.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35%53.65%
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.94%32.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.47%68.53%
Score Analysis
    Sochi 47.19%
    Rostov 27.68%
    Draw 25.12%
SochiDrawRostov
1-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 9.34%
2-0 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.19%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.71%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.63%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 27.68%

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