SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Fayha |
61.84% ( 0.09) | 20.13% ( -0.04) | 18.02% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.84% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.09% ( 0.1) | 37.9% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.83% ( 0.1) | 60.16% ( -0.1) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.2% ( 0.05) | 11.79% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.99% ( 0.12) | 37.01% ( -0.11) |
| Al Fayha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.58% ( 0) | 34.42% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.87% ( -0) | 71.13% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Fayha |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.16% Total : 61.84% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.13% | 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 18.02% |
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